4 August 2021

Male final prediction

1. Tomoa Narasaki JPN 1 * 1 * 4 = 4
2. Adam Ondra CZE 4 * 3 * 1 = 12
3. Colin Duffy USA 2 * 4 * 3 = 24
4. Michael Mawem FRA 3 * 2 * 6 = 36
5. Jakob Schubert AUT 7 * 5 * 2 = 70
6. Alberto Gines Lopez 5 * 7 * 5 = 175
7. Nathaniel Coleman 6 * 6 * 7 = 252
8. Bassa Mawem FRA DNS

It might feel strange that the qualification winner Michael Mawem is just predicted to be #4. The reason for this is simply that it has been predicted that he will lose against Narasaki in the Speed semifinal. If he instead wins that race and then also wins the final, and all other predictions remain the same, he will be runner up after Narasaki overall. In the same way, if Alberto Gines Lopez wins against Colin Duffy in their Speed quarterfinal, and all other predictions remain the same, Alberto will get the Olympic bronze and Colin drops to #5.
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