6 December 2019
How is the climbing scene 2030?
Climbing is growing and especially indoors and this trend will continue and in 2030, we just might be 50 % more climbers. Experienced climbers fear that this will dramatically increase access problems and create ques on their routes but I do not agree on that. We already know that few of the new generation gym climbers are interested to climb outdoors regularly. One reason for that is that you do not get a good upper body physical exercise spending 90 min in the nature challenging routes graded 4 to 6a. Furthermore, it is normally more dangerous and painful to climb outdoors and you will not perform in accordance with your gym grades.
At the same time, we will increase the number of developed routes with possibly 25 %. This means a greater possibility to spread out instead of queuing up on the nearest routes and boulders you already have done a dozen times.
Access problems are already a fact but as a big portion of the outdoor climbers will kids and climbing families, landowners and municipalities will have greater acceptance. As it is also expected that the new generation climbers are more willing to spend money in comparison to the old "dirt-bag" generation, tourism authorities etc will see climbers as a target group.
Other things likely to happen
- Adam Ondra has done 9c+ and it projecting 10a
- Olympic medals in four disciplines including DWS
- Total Asian dominance on the comp scene
- Airpads making it possible to land from 8 meters
- Route setting through holds with lights indoors
- Development of 2 - 4 graded bolted routes/boulder
- Athlete live-streaming with drones
- Female, youngsters and seniors catching up
- 33 % wearing helmets
- GPS climb search for routes and boulders
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