Around 6 - 12 million are needed to make it to Toulouse

The next possibility to make it to Tokyo 2020, is to make it to the Top-20 overall in the Combined ranking excluding the ones that already made it in Hachioji. Further more, most probably no Japanese will be allowed to compete as it is not a qualifying event for them. In practice, this means that being around Top-30 to 35 should be good enough. With just one Speed event and three Lead events remaining, one could speculate that a total score of around 6 million for the female and 12 million for the male would be good enough to make it to Toulouse. From the current overall rankings we can see that 10 million are needed for the female and 25 million for the male. What makes it impossible to come up with a real figure is that we do not know; A. how many of the already qualified in Hachioji, B. the ones already below 1 million, C. the once without a chance will participate in the last events. It has already been a long season and two more European Championships are coming up. It just might be that we will see relatively few Combined climbers participating in the last events in China and Japan. The good news is of course, on the other hand, that the Speed event in Xiamen will be like a free ticket to Toulouse. It should be mentioned that the last Boulder event in Vail was already almost like a free ticket to Toulouse that were lost for many. The number of Combined participants in this event were around half of the other Boulder World Cups. To sum up, scoring 100 * 100 * 400 or = 4 million for a Boulder/Lead specialist. A Speed specialist will get the same scoring by 1 000 * 1 000 * 4. This means that it is predicted that at least 2 + 2 Speed specialist will make it to Toulouse.